My brother Jamal just emailed me this weather map for next week, specifically on the coming Thursday 18th of January, in which temperatures in Bahrain are set to drop to zero degrees! I have no idea if this is actually true so far as the 5 day forecast of today obviously stops at Sunday 14 Jan.
If the temperature does indeed drop to freezing, then we can expect quite a few funerals the day after, ones in which the family of the deceased would have to pay mourners to accompany the precession to the final resting place.
I hope it doesn’t get to that level, we are really not prepared for cold weather here, and most certainly are not prepared for rain, hail, sleet nor snow; those things can stay in Europe for all I care (other than the rain, my garden needs it!)
However, the astute observer, and those who know how to fly planes, would immediately be drawn to that little figure on the top left corner of the image, which says 850mb. Do you know what that number indicates? It’s the air pressure measured in millibars, and through that one could deduce the level or height above mean sea level that weather chart is predicting. As far as my simple calculations are concerned, that weather chart indicates the predicted pressure and temperature patterns at a height of approximately 5000 feet! (assuming a pressure lapse rate of 30 feet per millibar under 10,000 feet and the MSL is 1013.25mb)
I would therefore suggest that you shouldn’t rush out and fall over each other to buy yet another heater, the prices of which I am told have shot through the roof! Judging by the average norms for this time of the year – even when you take this inordinately cold December and January – I would say that the temperature on Thursday the 18th would probably be between 16 – 19 degrees Celsius.
So make sure that you refer whoever gives you this chart or “advises” you to go and buy more heaters because it will get freezing from Saudi or wherever (they’re out of stock in Bahrain they say,) refer them to this post and slap them on their heads. Maybe that will knock some sense into them.
I won’t be here to experience it on that day (un)fortunately, I’ll be enjoying the weather in Marrakesh to which I will be traveling from the 13th to the 19th to participate in an IREX media advisory board meeting.
I wonder what the weather is going to be like there?
MUCH more important, who should be the Mtv scapegoat for that week?